Saturday, July 22, 2023

The Nomination Is In: Haskell Day Jersey Shore Pick 6 Races 8-13

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Welcome Friends to the Turk Blog, usually focusing on Turf Racing and Exacta Betting.  I said normally because today I'm handicapping the Jersey Short Pick Six (20 cent minimum), which incorporates The G3 Molly Pitcher, The G1T United Nations and the G1 Haskell.  There was a time when this blog focused on Superfecta Betting but I've never been much of a horizontal bettor.  It's not that I can't pick winners, it's part of the job description, but I never wanted to invest the time or the gambling capital needed.   As the Turk nears retirement, I can see a day coming in my future where I get back to handicapping whole cards for mental exercise and relaxation, and I do think horizontals will be my thing as I spend full days in Hawaiian shirts without a care in the world.  That's if the sport survives, but that's another rant for another day, 

    Full disclosure, I'm not betting my Pick 6, it's purely a mental exercise for me right now.  I'll most likely paly most of these races as Win Bet or Exacta, but the Pick 6 betting strategy I don't have enough time into thinking about and I will revisit it another day.  If you are into the horizontals, today may be the day to focus on the $500,000 guaranteed Pick 4 Race 9-12  or the $250,000 guaranteed Late Pick 5, Race 10-14. 

Let's get after it!

 

Monmouth Park: Races 8-13 P6

In race 8, I have Late Speed with Proxy/6 and Early Speed with Whelen Springs/7.   I see them as the class of this race, and they checked all my boxes for class, recent form, performance. 

If I'm still alive after Race 8 (which is not a given!), I go into two races that I plan to single.  In Race 9, I went seven deep with potential win candidates but I'm singling Fore Harp/9 with Paco Lopez (29% MTh) up.  slight cut back, great recent form cycle, Trainer/Jock solid.

I've played risky and lose, and if I'm still alive (it's gambling but...) in Race 10, the G3 Molly Pitcher I'm singling Search Results/4.  Brown/Rosario 20% this rolling year , Brown's 34% at Monmouth, 30% off the 40 ish day layoff, and just great form.  

In the Grade 1 United Nations,  it's hard not to root for Red Knight. The 9 YO has a G1 and G3 win this year and placed in a G2.  Was a bit fractious in the gate in the Manhattan last time out.  I expect him to be post time favorite which is wild, but I'm covering some value with him who I really like, Catnip/3 and Planetario (Brz)/6.  Catnip is very intriguing, training well, winner in G3 Monmouth last time out.  

In the Haskell I'm not looking towards the Kentucky Derby winner, Mage Next time out I will like him more, but I'd like to see how he bounces back.  I really like Salute the Stars/3; Winner last time out here, improving and value.  Geaux Rocket Ride/1, Tapit Trice/5, Extra Anejo/7 and Arabian Knight/8 are all solid and to me, a cut above the rest.  Great betting races in this Pick 6.  I don't believe I'm alive in this thing, but we solider on!

Finally, in Race 13, Boston Princess/2, Cecile/7 and Fortineno (Ire)/9 are my choices as best of the field.  

Wasn't a great post, I think I'm burned out from such compelling fields and heavy handicapping.  I'll unwind it tomorrow.

Have fun friends

Turk Out


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