Breeders' Cup is 33 days from now, 5 weeks from last Friday. After next weekend, and with very few exceptions after that, all the preps for Breeders' Cup will be done and I will turn my attention to handicapping, beginning with as much video as I can lay my hands on for the last 2-3 races for each horse I'm focused on. I'm not really a Triple Crown fella, I like data, and these turf race contestants at the Breeders' Cup come with loads of data and video. Heaven for a handicapping nerd such as I.
The John Henry was no great surprise. My base handicap had Gold Phoenix as an A+ and odds on favorite while I had Stay Hot as Place horse, an A rating and second best odds. They both went off at $1.50- 1 odds with Stay Hot considered the incremental chalk. My bet construction was singled on Mondego ($6.20-1) finally figuring it out and using his incredible turn of foot tactically to win a race. It didn't happen and may never happen.
27 September 2025; John Henry Turf Championship G2; DMR; 1 1/4 Miles on firm turf.
Race Chart:
| Horse Name | PP | 1/4 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 1M | STR | FIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Phoenix (IRE) | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 61 | 31 | 11 ¼ |
| Stay Hot | 6 | 5hd | 62 | 6½ | 7 | 7 | 2nk |
| Spycatcher | 3 | 22 | 21 ½ | 21 ½ | 21 | 1½ | 31 |
| Mondego (GB) | 5 | 61 ½ | 5½ | 52 | 5½ | 4hd | 41 ¾ |
| Balladeer | 2 | 12 ½ | 14 | 14 ½ | 12 | 2hd | 51 ¼ |
| Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 4 | 42 | 3½ | 31 ½ | 4½ | 6½ | 6¾ |
| Rastaman Vibe | 1 | 31 | 42 | 41 ½ | 3hd | 5hd | 7 |
Race Chart Visualization:
Joe Hirsch also went as expected. Rebel's Romance (Ire) is a beast, going off at $0.64-1 with Redistricting getting longest odds you can expect him to get, $5.31 -1.
27 September 2025; Joe Hirsch Turf Classic G1; 1 1/4 Miles on Firm Turf.
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