The Turk took a mid week vacation day and had some time to handicap Opening Day at Hollywood Park. Let's get it on!
Race 7 Hollywood Park-Post Time 7:05 ET; The Harry Henson Stakes 60K; 6 furlongs on Turf for 3 YOs.
Always gather your information, like weather and track conditons and scratches/changes.
At first blush we have a collection of ten runners who collectively have 13 Turf starts and 2 wins and 1 show.
Handicapping without morning lines, I have Face and an Ace on top to win, owner of the only 2 turf wins in the field, and a last race win on turf at SA in late March. Trainer P. Gonzalez has some real WOW stats: 26% turf wins on 31 starts, 29% sprint wins, and his combination with Jock R. Bejarano is productive with 38% wins on a slim 8 starts.
The world's most interesting man, Trainer Julio Canani saddles Big Man has a Sign . Dropping back in distance from 1 1/16 on poly in March and training sharply. Canani has some very impressive stats as well; 30% sprint wins, 25% 1st Turf, 22% Turf. Teamed with M. Pedroza they win 33% of the timw on 48 starts.
Smiling Tiger seemed like a tiger when he was running Show to Make Music for Me and Looking at Lucky in Grade 1 and Grade II events late last summer. Training strongly since early March, I think he'll need a race or two to get his hoofs under him.
It's way too early to have a bet strategy. I'll be sitting around an airport in Boston by the time this goes to Post so if I have time on my hands I'll string a Superfecta together using a matrix of my base handicap. Watch the tote and look for some value if it presents itself.
Have Fun, Save Hollywood Park, Go Sabres, Turk Out!
2 comments:
Another thing you find on here aside from "a middle aged man, referring to himself in the third person, who occasionally rants that the World is turning upside down" is first-rate handicapping and insight into racing contenders.
Nice job!
Thanks Railrunner for the kind words!
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