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| Spa Giveaway-Alabama Day 2008 |
Welcome friends to The Turk and the Little Turk Blog, now in our 9th year and 11th month of providing handicapping and bet construction to people who never asked for it. It is, however free, and it as I might add, positive ROI over a long period of time.
Why does the Turk blog? I guess the easiest answer is he likes too. Some people like crosswords, some watch Jeopardy, some online porn. Me, I like my work very much and blogging is an extension of my work. I analyze data and I develop good money strategy, which is exactly what I do for a living.
I was out (albeit briefly) at Del Mar last week, and next Saturday I'll be in Saratoga for Travers Day. I haven't attend a Travers since 2007, when the Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense avoided the Spa Curse, and also the day Hard Spun became a Grade 1 winner in the King's Bishop. I stopped going because I felt priced out. I'm not super cost conscious, but Stub-Hubbed tickets in the clubhouse have gotten very pricey for the Travers and instead I started coming for either Alabama or Woodward Stakes day. I purchased tickets in the hope of possibly seeing Justify, but I'm good with whomever shows up and quite frankly, I'm getting excited to see Wonder Gadot take on the colts. I've enjoyed alot of Alabama Days and the hat pictured above was a bit of swag the Spa gave away in 2008. I admit tho, I'm getting rain fatigue this meet and I'm dreading working hard on a multi race handicap only to see races pulled from turf or multiple scratches. I'm going to hunker down and assume that the track is at least sloppy and sealed and the turf is soft. The weather, is going to be wet. You'll find the real Track Conditions and Scratches and Changes for NYRA/Saratoga here.
My handicapping plan was to develop a Pick Three Strategy for Race 8-9-10, the G2 Lake Placid on Turf, The Alabama and a $25,000 1 Mile Turf Claimer that I fear will either be cancelled or shifted to the main track after I spend quality time on it. Let's get after it!
Video Review for the G2 Lake Placid: 1 1/8 Miles on Mellon Turf.
G1 Belmont Oaks Invitational: 1 1/4 Miles Firm BEL turf
G3 Lake George: 1 1/16 on SAR outer (Mellon) Turf
G3 Wonder Again Stakes: 1 1/8 Miles Bel inner Turf
G2 Appalachian: 1 Mile over yielding turf at KEE
Penn Oaks $200K; 1 Mile on Firm Turf
And the video review for The Alabama 1 1/4 Miles on Fast Dirt
G1 CCA Oaks 1 1/8 Miles on fast Dirt
Indiana Oaks G3: 1 1/16 Miles on Fast Dirt
Delaware Oaks G3: 1 1/16 Miles Fast Dirt
The Mother Goose G2: 1 1/16 Miles on fast BEL dirt.
What to make of this?
Instead of rambling about this one, I think I'm just going to let my base handicaps and fair lines speak for themselves. These races were handicapped assuming soft turf and sloppy and sealed dirt.
Midnight Bisou will most likely be singled on my Pick 3. I'll be assembling value exactas on both races as I think there are some very good possibilities for both races. Hopefully the field sizes don't change.
I'll be back tomorrow with Race 10 once I get a feel for if the race will be run, by who and on what surface.
Turk out!
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