Friday, November 6, 2009

The Nomination Is In: Breeders' Cup Friday Filly and Mare Sprint G1

Four years old, beautiful, sleek and exotic, Informed Decision pictured to the left is The Turk's chalk in today's Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint. She'll be facing eight others and breaking from the 7 spot with a very talented Street Cry filly Seventh Street and the male beating Mare, Ventura on the far outside.

Race 7 at Santa Anita Post Time 6:02 ET; The Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint Grade I; 7 Furlongs on fake dirt for F&M 3 YO and Up.

Informed Decision comes in at the end of a very impressive 4 YO campaign, 6 of 6 in the money with a career 6 wins in 6 starts on fake dirt and 10 wins in 13 career trips to the gate. Trainer Sheppard wins 26% of his fake dirt races and an impressive 28% of his graded stake starts, and combined with Leparoux who is up today, they win together 33% of the time. A sharp 5f in :59 and 3/5ths followed a Grade II win at 6f on Keeneland's fake stuff. Hasn't consistently put up three digit BSF's but capable and competitive.

Seventh Street takes a significant drop in furlongs in hopes that her speed will carry through 7/8's of a mile. An interesting runner, 6 of 6 in the money on wet dirt and the horse only has 9 starts, with no sythetic and no turf starts, but a lifetime 9 of 9 in the money and a ton of class. Works slow and last race in September. More bets will hedge down to 4th or lower then hedge this high.

Ventura, heroine of the Woodbine Mile, comes in with everything but a good post position. She is very capable of overcoming that, but its a hurdle and I'll have her in my top four, but where she'll land on the ticket I dunno. 6 wins in last 11 starts, 11 of last 11 in the money, 9 wins in 19 starts on turf and fake dirt, 17 of 19 in the money on combined turf and fake dirt starts, very impressive numbers including a race best 108 BSF, with three 100+ BSF in a row and a Grade I win at SA and a loss by a nose in a GI at SA to a little old horse called Gio Ponti. Best horse in the race from Chester House.

The next rung down could be a blanket finish and a toss up all at the same time. I'd hedging towards Evita Argentina, the 3 YO Candy Ride that has 5 wins on Poly including a Grade II at SA. n Training sharply for Sadler who wins 20% of his fake dirt races and 24% of his 61-180 day layoff starts.

Maybe I'm wrong, but I'm not going too much higher then 3rd of 4th on some tickets with Sara Louise. No fake dirt or turf starts for the 3 YO but two 100+ BSF at Belmont and Saratoga. Training well and Godolphin puts the incorrigible F. Dettori up.

Have Fun, Turk Out!

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