Friday, June 26, 2009

The Nomination Is In: June 26, 2009: The Iowa Derby $250,000

That fine looking animal is none other then Tiz Now, winner of the 2008 Iowa Derby. I've never handicapped Prairie Meadows so this is fun and games for me, but I'm betting my base handicap and a bunch of 10 cent supers and we'll see if we can't start the weekend off on a good note. The picture was taken by Coady Photography.

There is a 30% chance of rain tonight at Prairie Meadows. If you're concerned about the surface go to Weather DOT Com for the local update and avoid the Prairie Meadows pathetic casino-track website which offers almost no useful information.

Race 9 Prairie Meadows Post Time 11:17 ET: The Iowa Derby $250,000; 1 1/16 miles on prairie soil for 3 YOs.

This is an interesting field. I would peg the median BSF of the horses in this race around 85 and there is quite a bit of parity up and down the starting gate. Name recognition will lead many bettors to Uno Mas, but I'm not sure what to make of the Asmussen trainee. I'm putting him just outside of the top four, but he's a wild card as he has the class to be much better then his 0 for 6 in 2009 record.

I've liked Proceed Bee several times over the past few months. I also like Terrain. Terrain is clearly the best horse in this race and with a drop in competition, should be able to win this race. Both will come off the pace, most likely set by Red Lead and Soul Warrior.

Watch the tote and as always look for value. I don't have a strong opinion on my handicap but if forced to choose I'd say it has a mid level chance of being accurate. To me that's not good enough to wager any significant dollars. I will bet several 10 cent supers, and then no more the 10 dollars on straight tri and exacta bets. Have fun.

Turk Out!

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