As the Turk likes to tell his readers, sometimes you just have to let certain races go. The Iowa Derby is one of those races. I'll add video when I can find it, but it appears from the chart that the speed went to the front. As I said pre race, Soul Warrior and Red Lead were the pace. The problem was the horses I predicted to come off the pace just never did. Terrain was vanned off and I hope to find some news on him soon. We will take the no news is good news approach. Just an ugly looking race chart. Shake the prairie dust from your sandals, as there are other race tracks to handicap today. the Turk will be back later to handicap The Grade II King Edward from Woodbine and possibly return to Prairie Meadows for the Cornhusker Handicap, an 11:17 ET affair. The Acorn and the Vanity don't really interest me as a handicapper, but I will be watching as a race fan.Until Later, Turk Out!
Race 9 PM: The Iowa Derby: 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt for 3 YOs
4 comments:
I enjoyed your analysis, and was on board with Proceed Bee, but...the race turned out to be a hot mess. That's the problem with tracks like Prairie Meadows, Charles Town, and Delta Downs, just to name a few. The quirks of smaller, tighter surfaces throws off the race, opening it up to those with lesser form. That's why Big Drama should have been (and was) a lock at Charles Town recently: he'd done well at Delta Downs.
Thanks Val. That's why i like to handicap different tracks, so I can learn what it takes to win on them. I try to add to my posts when my handicap is an exercise in handicapping or a legitimate attempt to make my small pile of cash into a slighly bigger pile.
I love the Foolish Pleasure blog. You're one of my favorite writers.
Thank you.
The thing about Duke of Mischief was that 27% stakes win percentage for his trainer. I know he was coming out of an allowance, but, golly, what does that trainer (whose name escapes) know to win stakes at such a clip?
Meanwhile, great sorrow to lose Terrain.
qq: I take trainer and jockey/trainer stats into account as a minor factor, but I do pay attention. You're right tho, he sure knows how to win or better yet, doesn't enter races he doesn't think he has a good shot of winning.
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