Post Race Analysis for Race Day June 6, 2009: Belmont Stakes Day

Race 6 BEL: The True North Handicap Grade II; 6f on NYS Dirt for 3 YO and Up.



It's always good to start your betting day off strong. Prerace, I wasn't thrilled with the six horse field, and I didn't see anyway that Benny the Bull and Fabulous Strike would not finish one-two. I picked Benny the Bull because I wanted a better payoff, but I thought that was an easy Exacta bet, and it was , returning $12.40 on a boxed bet.

Where I think this old Turk did well and what got me excited was I was much higher on Silver Edition then the betting public was. I had him third in my pre race analysis while the bettors had him last. Silver Edition did indeed take third and i was rewarded with $177.00 in Trifecta, for a race take of $189 bucks on $12 investment.




Race 9 BEL: The Acorn Grade I: 1 Mile on NYS Dirt for 3YO Fillies.



As a handicapper, you really can't beat yourself up after you just miss one. I like to make the analogy of a cornerback who just gave up a deep ball and has to go back out there the next play. One needs a short memory as there will be time for analysis later.

I wouldn't have picked Gabby's Golden Girl if I had 10 more chances. I just didn't see it coming. I accurately had the chalk, Justwhistledixie in the Place spot but not much else went right.



Race 10 BEL: The Manhattan Handicap Grade I: 1 1/4 miles on Turf for 3 YO and Up.



Another race, same results. I tied my handicap to Cowboy Cal who took the lead at the top of the stretch and then faded. So we moved along to the main event.



Race 11 BEL: The Belmont Stakes Grade I; 1 1/2 miles on NYS Dirt for 3 YO.



The Turk tried to make a good bet for the Appleton Turk, two $10 win bets on Dunkirk and Charitable Man. I should have added her money to the Superfecta bet that I made and we would have made some serious hay!

All in all it was a good day of handicapping for the Turk. I hope my fellow bloggers who were there had a great time.



Turk Out!

The Nomination Is In: June 6th, 2009; Belmont Stakes Day Race 6; The True North Handicap Grade II

An interesting six furlong affair only semi interested me once the handicap was finished. The race marks the return of Benny the Bull who will have his hands full with Fabulous Strike, the 2-1 Morning Line favorite.

The picture to the left is of Benny the Bull in the winners circle after taking this race a year ago. He'll have Prado up again as he tries to repeat.

Race 6 BEL: The True North Handicap Grade II: 6F on dirt for 3 YO and UP.



With only six starters and two super heavy weights, the risk-reward factor for placing money on this race starts to make this handicapper question the reasoning. Then again, a few small wagers that take either Benny the Bull and Fabluous Strike and tie them to a horse that will go off better then 5-1, someone like Silver Edition or Desert Key, will make a nice Exacta Payout.

I'm a huge proponent of current form, and to this Turk that generally means a race in the past two months. Quality horses can always contrdict the rules, especially at shorter distances. That said, Fabluous Strike should win this race and deserved the chalk, but Benny the Bull is better and we'll see if he can prove it today.

Ripped from NYRA Belmont Park Website

BELMONT PARK
TRACK & TURF CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY, 6/6/2009
TRACK CONDITIONS

Weather: Sunny

Track: Good

Turf: Soft

Races off the Turf: 12,13