The Turk Blog, established in September 2008, has a narrow purpose: We analyze Turf Horse Races and Form Exacta Bets. Little Turk has retired from the blog and is now a Chiropractor.
She Feels Pretty/Photo Credit: Courtney Snow/Past the Wire
Welcome Friends to The Turk Blog, where I focus on Turf Racing and Exacta Betting.
$5.50 for a DRF Formulator Card at Saratoga, a price increase from DRF over the past year, after to be fair, the price was held constant for a very many years. Still, for the monopolies that hold a tight reign over the information in this sport, it does seem excessive. I say all that because it's hard to make a return on investment capital plus the high cost of information when you get a six horse Diana where the morning line favorite is 1-1, 50% of the odds. That is, unless we can make a case for her to finish in Place, or worse. That favorite is She Feels Pretty: 10-10 lifetime in the money, 2 starts at SAR, both in the money, the last on yielding turf at 1 3/16th was a career best 100 Beyer. 2 of 2 at the distance. Lot's to like but 50%, this is less of a handicapping exercise and more of a betting opportunity.
Let's get after it.
The Diana G1: 1 1/8 Miles on Inner Turf for F&M 4 YO and Up
Most of the other runners competed in either the Gamely G1, Just a Game G1 or Jenny Wiley G1. Let's take a peak.
12 April 2025 KEE: The Jenny Wiley G1: 1 1/16 Miles on Good Turf.
6 June 2025 SAR: Just a Game G1: 1 Mile on yielding turf.
26 May 2025 SA: The Gamely G1: 1 1/8 Miles on Firm Turf
Finally, She Feels Pretty.
6 June 2025 SAR: The New York G1: 1 3/16ths on yielding turf.
A different horse from a different time, but Lael Stables silks with a #8 Saddle Cloth always makes me think of this guy, the horse that made me start blogging, Barbaro. Hard to believe next year will be 20 years!
Barbero: Photo Eliot Schechter/epa/corbis
So what are we going to do with all this? As I said, we have to bet against the heavy favorite. Horse racing code compels me, and even at a more realistic 2-1, 33% odds, there is still a 6 in 10 chance she loses.
I like late closers Dynamic Pricing (Ire) or Lady Claypoole (Ire) to get her late. The scratch of Be Your Best (Ire) however changes the race pace dynamics greatly, as his early pressure will be missing and I think that leaves Choisya (GB) and Excellent Truth (Ire) to press She Feels Pretty early. Choisya's last outing at SAR was a disaster on yielding turf. You can find Track Condition and Scratches and Changes Here. Current inner turf condition is yielding and its raining.
3-4-5 OVER 1-3-4-5, a $2 Exacta for $18 seems a bit pricy. 3-4-5 Boxed is $12. I'll be thinking down these lines later today.
Welcome Friends to The Turk Blog, where I specialize in Turf Racing and Exacta Betting.
I've been handicapping since the mid 1980's and I've posted over 725 blog entries here since 2008. What I am not is a horse racing insider or someone who even remotely gets caught up in the news or the personalities. I don't want racing coverage with the sound up (except the race calls) and I don't read about the races in advance. I handicap off of what I see on DRF Formulator PPs (not sponsored!) and from Youtube race videos. These days I'm much more likely to be making theoretical bet, as I seldom gamble anymore. I don't do this for monetization, and quite frankly, I'm not doing it for views, as very few people actually read long form blogs anymore in the horse racing space. Take it for what it's worth, but when I'm handicapping consistently I have a positive ROI.
Work takes up a lot of my time. When I retire, my plan is to take the blog in new directions, data scrapping from API feeds to improve my analysis and product. For now, I blog to stay fresh, as handicapping is a muscle that needs exercise.
I generally like to handicap 4 YO and Up going greater than 1 mile. Beggars can't be choosers these days, with fewer tracks and less races. I wasn't even sure why Saratoga was running this weekend and I understand they have a 4 July Holiday mini-meet before the main meet opens late next week. Fine with me, it fills a gap where I would have been handicapping Arlington in the past, or even Belmont.
I didn't have a lot of video I wanted to look at. I'm frustrated with finding Churchill Downs video again.
Hall of Fame G2, SAR, 1 Mile Firm Inner Turf. 2 August 2024. Neat.
Poker G3, SAR 1 Mile Firm Inner Turf. 5 June 2025. Intellect (FR), Donegal Momentum
5 July 2025: The Kelso G3; 1 Mile on Inner Turf at SAR for 4 YO and Up
I'm leaning towards 2-8 OVER 1-2-4-5-6-8, a $2 Bet for $20. Feels like I'm going to do a possible magic trick of turning $20 into $0 dollars, but we'll see. I always reserve the right to adjust based on the tote board, which I think every horse player should reassess, as this is about informed risk and value more than being "right".
Welcome Friends to The Turk Blog, now in our 18th year. I'd like to thank the good people of The Thorofan for allowing me to share my thoughts with you today.
While only a seven horse field, with one horse, Ashcroft, being a cut well below, the other six, wow: All six combine for $25.9 MM in career earnings, a Breeders' Cup Classic Winner, a Kentucky Derby Winner, a Blue Grass Winner and a Dubai World Cup. That's a pretty impressive field.
Let's take a deeper dive into the field and look at some video as well.
Oaklawn Handicap G2; 1 1/8 Miles on Fast Dirt; 19 April 2025
The Churchill Downs G1; 7f on slop; 3 May 2025
The "Hollywood" Gold Cup G2; 1 1/4 Miles on Fast Dirt; 26 May 2025
New Orleans Classic G2; 1 1/8 Miles on Fast Dirt; 22 March 2025
Blame G3; 1 1/8 Miles on Fast Dirt; 31 May 2025
Clark Handicap G2; 1 1/8 on Fast Dirt; 29 November 2024
Dubai World Cup G1; 1 1/4 Miles Fast Dirt (LH)
So what to do with this? I'll be honest, I'm not sure without seeing the toteboard odds. I'm leaning towards Sierra Leone OVER First Mission and Skippylongstocking. 4 OVER 1 and 3, a $2 Dollar bet for $4.
Nothing exciting, just my thoughts of what might have value.
Welcome friends to The Turk Blog where I write about turf racing and exacta bet construction. I've been a horse racing fan most of my life, but didn't seriously start to handicap until 1986, and I've been doing it ever since. The blog started in 2008 and continues on as a labor of love. I'd like to thank The Thorofan for offering me a chance to share my thoughts on this race with you today.
The Frank E. Kilroe Mile is a prestigious Grade 1 turf race held annually at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia, California. Named in honor of Frank Kilroe, a longtime racing secretary and influential figure in California horse racing, the race is contested at 8 furlongs over grass and is open to horses aged four years and older. It was raced at about the classic distance of 10 furlongs until 1987 before becoming a mile event. The event is held on Big Cap Day, Santa Anita Handicap, one of the biggest and most prestigious cards of the year at the great race place.
First run in 1960, the race was originally known as the Arcadia Handicap before being renamed in 2001 to recognize Kilroe’s contributions to the sport. Over the decades, it has attracted some of the finest turf milers in horse racing history, including champions such as Lure, Wise Dan, and Gio Ponti and the filly, Proviso.
The Frank Kilroe Mile remains a key race on turf racing calendar. It serves as an important early-season test for elite turf horses.
Santa Anita’s scenic backdrop and fast turf course makes the Kilroe Mile an early season turf racing kick off for this handicapper as the pickings over grass are pretty slim this time of the year, and its a good handle day with the Big Cap bettors.
You'll find scratches and changes here. The weather should be good with no rain expected until Sunday. I'm going to assume we are on the turf track and the turf is firm.
Let's Get after It!
1 Feb 2025 The Thunder Road G3: 1 Mile on Firm Turf SA. Air Force Red (Show), El Potente (W), Zio Jo (4th), Cabo Spirit (5th/9th)
26 December 2024 The San Gabriel G2: 1 1/8 Miles on Firm Turf at SA. Mi Hermano Ramon (Place)
So what to do with all of this? My instincts at the track would be to pass. I really think as I handicapped there is ~ 66% chance the top two bet horses finish Win/Place. The play for me here is to hope one of them finishes third.
1, 3 OVER 1,3,5,6,7 a $2 Exacta for $16. If "winning" is important to you, not a bad bet selection. If you want a long term ROI, tighten it up and take a stand: Drop Mi Hermano Ramon to Show and single El Portente and now you have 3 over 5-6-7, a $2 Exacta for $6. As your handicapping gets better, your hit rate will get better. Why 5-6-7, lower morning odds horses? Forget the Morning Line, build your own and look for horses that will be bet less on the tote board that have not so different odds than others, especially name recognition horses (Air Force Red, Cabo Spirit, Formidable Man).
Hello Friends and welcome to The Turk Blog, where I handicap and develop exacta bets, primarily over grass, but extensively over all surfaces. Next year is my 40th year as a handicapper, which is mind boggling to me as I still see myself as that young kid trying to understand how the races worked at Saratoga in the summer of 1986. As far as the blog goes, while I'm not an esteemed turf writer, I have been blogging continuously since 2008, so I am beginning my 18th year. Timing is everything in life, and when this blog started, Twitter was just a new thing, and long form blogs were very popular. Within a few years, the best bloggers in this sport mostly stopped writing about individual races because they weren't being read anymore. All anyone wanted was the picks, tweeted out. I never started this or any of my online endeavors to be the most popular, or the most monetized. I'm not sure if that makes me noble, and my cause true, or if my ambition was just low. No matter, I enjoy what I do and I appreciate the good people at The Thorofan, especially Laurie, who allow me the opportunity to submit late and ramble incessantly.
If timing is everything, post position must not matter? Oh but it does. Analyzing post position statistics for 1 1/8-mile dirt races at
Gulfstream Park reveals a significant advantage for horses starting from inside
posts. According to data from US Racing, in a sample of 34 two-turn dirt
routes, 32 winners broke from posts 1 through 7, accounting for approximately
94% of the victories. In contrast, horses starting from posts 8 and beyond
secured only 2 wins from 38 starts, representing a win percentage of about 5%. I looked at a larger sample size as well, 5 years, and the percentages were about the same: 94%-6%. Part of that is field size, but the key takeaway is that it's hard to win from the outside as the configuration of the track, with its relatively short run to the
first turn, often places outside starters at a disadvantage, as they must
expend additional effort to secure favorable positions early in the race. The one that comes to mind is Forte winning the Florida Derby from Post 11. Gun Runner in this race won from the 10 spot but the vast majority in this small sample size were from 6 in.
The Pegasus World Cup Invitational Stakes, inaugurated in 2017, is a premier
thoroughbred horse race at Gulfstream Park. The gaudiness of the prize packages quickly made the Pegasus World Cup a marquee event, attracting top talent to compete for one of the largest
purses in the sport, currently $3.0 MM. With that type of money, drawing elite horses, jockeys, and trainers from around the globe is possible.
The inaugural running saw Arrogate, trained by Bob Baffert, deliver a
commanding performance to claim victory. In subsequent years, the race featured
iconic horses like Gun Runner, City of Light, and Knicks Go, whose wins
showcased their exceptional abilities. The race’s timing in late January strategically positions it early in the year's racing calendar, offering participants a chance to begin their
campaigns on a grand stage in North America where previously Dubai was the best early season option.
I generally start with current form, which I use video for, but this group comes in off of all sorts of races, with only 13 starts total by this group since 3 November, Breeders' Cup Weekend. Watch how Gun Runner handled the outside post, note that very short run to the first turn.
It is cool but the weather should be dry. I'm handicapping like it will be fast dirt. You can find scratches and changes here.
The Pegasus World Cup Invitational G1; 1 1/8 Miles on Dirt for 4 YO and Up
What has Locked or any of the horses beyond the 7 post done to make you think they can pull off the win against the statistical odds against that post at this distance?
Inside of Locked with early speed(as measured by Timeform US Pace: Mixto, Saudi Crown, Newgrange, White Abarrio and Skippylongstocking. That's a lot of horses for the son of Gun Runner to run past quickly and establish a rail position. This is a six start horse that has never raced at Gulfstream, never raced at the distance, was a Show finish chalk at Breeders' Cup Juvenile. I started this analysis working backwards, what you are hearing me say is I don't have alot of faith in Locked, and don't see a reason to stretch on an overbet lightly raced, outside post. We are gamblers, the odds say move away.
So what and where should we look? I think a better gamble is on White Abarrio running at a track he's won 6 of 8 starts on, bouncing back under Trainer Joseph. Training well, training sharp, the 6 YO is in a great spot to get on the rail and be fresh at the end. The pick.
Saudi Crown should be the first turn leader. one win in three races at this distance, first time GP, 8 of 12 lifetime exacta finishes. Covering win and Place with him.
Crupi to me is in right spot and has one of the best stretch kicks. 7/14 Exactas on Fast Dirt, 5 of 11 exactas at the distance., the son of Curlin at 5 YO isn't jaw dropping, but 14 of 19 lieftime in the money and could add real value to the exacta.
Skippylongstocking is a pretty good exotic candidate if you are going deeper in the bets. Stronghhold ships in with Trainer D'Amato and the 4 YO is talented and could surprise. Same with Mixto, Trainer O'Neill with Dettori up, is a talented 5 YO that is winless in 3 tries at the distance, no exactas at the distance, No GP, but capable of big wins like his 22-1 Pacific Classic in August 2024.
Mystik Dan, 2024 Kentucky Derby winner, seems oddly placed in this race but I understand taking a swing at the prize. Sprint to Route for McPeek only 14% on 64 tries. Training sharp at GP and hopefully he can build off of this but I'm skeptical. The filly, Power Squeeze, also feels oddly placed and got a terrible post draw at 12.
I'm keeping the bet pretty simple:
4-2 OVER 4-2-5-1-6-10, a $2 Bet for $20. My aggressive bet is 4 OVER 2-5-1-6-10 for $10.
Hello friends and Welcome to The Turk Blog, where we handicap turf races and develop exacta bet constructions. I'd like to thank The Thorofan for allowing me an opportunity to write for you today. I've changed jobs over the past year, and I had to put handicapping on the back burner for most of this year. Every few years my output on the blog diminishes, but my love of horse racing remains, and I suspect 2025 will be a record year for my blog in terms of output.
My new job involved recently a trip to Australia and Hong Kong. In both locations I met more race fans than I typically meet in the States. I also got to lay my eyes on the track at Hong Kong which has always fascinated me.
For years I've handicapped Churchill Down's day after Thanksgiving card, but turf runners with a future at Del Mar fits more with what I'm trying to accomplish anyways. After today, I'll shut it down for my writing until the day after Christmas timeframe and the start of the Santa Anita season. I love the ebb and flow of the horse racing calendar, I hope it can survive these times in Southern California.
Today's blog featured race, the Hollywood Derby G1 is a prestigious Grade I turf race for 3 YO thoroughbreds. Its long history, competitive field, and scenic venue make it a significant highlight of the fall racing season and often provides a launching pad for the 3 YOs not ready to jump to the breeding shed (aka- my favorite kind of 3 YOs).
Originally inaugurated in 1938 at the now-defunct Hollywood Park in Inglewood, California, the race was relocated to Del Mar Racetrack in 2014 following Hollywood Park's closure. Despite the change in venue, the Hollywood Derby has retained its historic importance and has continued to attract top-tier competitors from across the nation, although as I've ranted many times before, I think they should retire these races and rename them when the original tracks close. In my opinion, the1 1/8-mile (9 furlongs) distance on turf is ideal for showcasing the tactical speed and endurance of young thoroughbreds. Many of these horses in their 3 YO seasons have either raced lightly on Turf or the Conditioners are still trying to match the horse to the conditions book. That can create interesting improvements in a horses form and results.
Del Mar Racetrack, famous for its slogan “Where the Turf Meets the Surf,” provides a stunning backdrop for the Hollywood Derby. Past winners of the Hollywood Derby include iconic names such as Citation, the 1948 Triple Crown champion, and Snow Chief, who achieved fame in the 1980s. The list of victors is a testament to the race's competitive quality and its influence on the sport. In recent years, notable winners of the Hollywood Derby include Mo Forza (2019), who became a standout on the turf circuit, and Domestic Spending (2020), a Chad Brown-trained colt who went on to win multiple G1 races, solidifying his status as one of the best turf horses in North America.
Handicapping turf races is more nuanced than dirt horse racing, requiring a keen understanding of the distinct characteristics of turf tracks, the horses, and the specific conditions that influence performance and demands a strategy that differs significantly from dirt and while others disagree, I have success viewing and approaching it like synthetic surface races.
Understanding Turf Tracks
Turf surfaces tend to be softer than dirt tracks, offering less traction and more give. This impacts the way horses run, favoring those with a smooth, efficient stride over those with a choppier, more powerful action. Horses with turf-specific pedigrees often excel, as certain bloodlines are known for producing runners suited to the demands of grass racing.
Additionally, turf tracks are highly sensitive to weather conditions. Rain can soften the ground, turning it into yielding or soft turf, while extended dry spells can result in firm conditions. For today, we will just assume firm turf and Del Mar and Santa Anita, non rainy season, have been known for fast firm turf for decades. A quick look at the weather forecast validates this assumption.
Handicappers must pay close attention to the track condition reported on race day, as some horses excel on firm ground while others perform better on softer surfaces. I find this is best by looking at the track's recent race results as well as track conditions and changes section of the website. These tracks have varying degrees of useful websites. Del Mar's is one of the best websites.
I don't do this often, but a little Turf Racing 101 for you:
Pedigree: Evaluating a horse’s pedigree is crucial for turf handicapping. Horses bred from sires and dams with a proven record on turf are more likely to succeed. Look for horses with European bloodlines, as they are often bred specifically for turf racing, where it is more prevalent.
Running Style: Turf races often favor horses with a late-closing or stalking running style. This is because turf races typically unfold at a more measured pace than dirt races, with a strong emphasis on finishing speed. Horses with a powerful turn of foot in the final furlongs tend to have an edge, especially in route distances. I look at every horse early and late Timeform US Pace figs to get a feel for early and late speed and how tactical a horse has run at the distance. I link this to Pace Analysis: Understanding the pace scenario is critical in turf races. A slow early pace can favor horses near the lead, while a fast pace might set up perfectly for a closer. Handicappers should analyze the pace setup to predict which horses might benefit most.
Jockeys and Trainers:
Certain jockeys and trainers specialize in turf racing and have developed strategies suited to its intricacies. For example, top turf jockeys excel at timing their moves perfectly in the stretch. Researching a trainer’s turf win percentage and a jockey's familiarity with the surface can provide a valuable edge. For example, Fresu/Eurton 23% winners on 43 starts, Rispoli/McCarthy 25% winners on 53 starts standout to me for volume as well as quality, but don't discount Berrios/Shirreffs 25% on 12 starts or Dettori/Thomas 26% on 23 starts but all tracks, first at Del Mar. Its a tool.
Form and Experience: Horses that have previously performed well on turf, especially under similar conditions, are worth noting. Pay attention to recent races and the competition faced. Horses transitioning from dirt to turf for the first time may struggle unless their pedigree or training suggests aptitude for the surface. The concept of Class is important: Look at Career Earnings; Look at the quality of Races the horse has run in.
Turf racing often features larger fields, which can make picking a winner more challenging but also lead to higher payouts. The unpredictability of weather and the variability of turf conditions require constant vigilance. However, for handicappers who invest the time to analyze these factors, turf races offer exciting opportunities to profit. I love a niche part of a niche sport, what can I say!
I'll leave you with two pieces of advice that have served me very well on the handicapping and then bet construction side of the coin:
1. Ignore outside bias: Don't read about the race before you handicap and don't look at the morning lines. I print my Formulator PPs without the Morning Line and only look at it when I'm blogging to insert into my chart. All those bias, including the talking heads on the TV broadcasts, will influence your thinking.
2. Do pay attention to the Tote Board: What other bettors think matters way more than anything else. Identify over and under lays and bet accordingly for value. No one will respect your chalky exacta win because its a recipe to lose money over the long haul. Be brave, go deep in your handicap for that late turn of foot. Remember long shots much more likely to take Place than the Win.
Anyways, enough rambling, lets get after it!
The Hollywood (please) Derby G1: 1 1/8 miles on presumably hard turf for 3 YOs.
Just a few videos to review:
26 October 2024; Twilight Derby G2: 1 1/8 Miles firm Turf, Santa Anita.
1 September 2024; Del Mar Derby G2; 1 1/8 Miles firm Turf
4 August 2024; The La Jolla Handicap (5 horse field); 1 1/6 Miles Firm Turf; Del Mar
5 October 2024; The Jockey Club Derby Invitational G3; 1 3/8 Miles firm Turf; Aqueduct.
31 October 2024; The Let it Ride Stakes $100K; 1 Mile Firm Turf; Del Mar
I think my base handicap indicates pretty clearly the lack of a true consensus chalk and the depth of this field is impressive. I generally avoid 3 YO turf races is the lack of a true sample size of efforts at this age on this surface, but if you like unpredictable and the chance of big payouts, a 13 horse field where at least two of my tosses could win, is pretty good.
I'm looking at some sort of exacta;
Let's play it out. A box of all my potential Win-Place-Show-Exotic (8 of the 13 horses) is a $56 dollar bet. The likelihood of making a return is mid to low.
I think this is more like how I'll approach:
Stay Hot/Carson's Run/Formidable Man covered in both spots and the others in the Place position, a $1 Dollar Bet for $21.
I feel like I'm being too safe with this so if I want to be higher value/higher risk:
Stay Hot/Carson's Run/Atitlan in both spots with Formidable Man,Twirling Point and Cathal in Place, a $1 Bet for $15. This is my bet.
Welcome to The Turk Blog, started in 2008 and now with over 725 postings. The Turk Blog specializes in turf racing and exacta bet construction. I appreciate The Thorofan, and their Handicappers Corner, for allowing me an opportunity to share my writing with you today.
As a fan of turf racing, and with the death of Arlington International, Kentucky Downs became my favorite track and boutique meet of the year. I wish I could say I was good at either handicapping the races there, or building better constructions, but that is part of the charm at Kentucky Downs, the races are hard to predict, its difficult to know which horses will take to the quirky track, and the sample sizes of horses running on the track itself are very small.
What is it about Kentucky Downs? It is a unique racetrack located in Franklin, Kentucky, near the Tennessee border. Known for its European-style turf course, the track stands out in the American horse racing landscape due to its undulating, irregularly shaped layout, which differs from the traditional oval tracks seen across the United States. Founded in 1990, Kentucky Downs is built on the historic site of the old Dueling Grounds, adding a layer of history to its modern-day horse racing activities.
The track hosts some of the richest turf races in North America, despite offering a short annual meet. Its premier event and the focus of today, The Kentucky Turf Cup G2, attracts top-quality horses and trainers. Kentucky Downs has gained a reputation for offering large purses like this race $2.0 MM, largely due to its successful historical horse racing (HHR) machines, which operate year-round. These gaming machines have boosted the track's revenue, allowing it to increase race day payouts and enhance its appeal to the racing community.
Kentucky Downs emphasis on both historic tradition and modern gaming has helped the venue carve out a special niche in the racing industry.
So what were the The Dueling Grounds of Kentucky? Located near the Kentucky-Tennessee border, the dueling grounds hold a unique place in American history. Known as the "Spanish Main," this area served as a notorious site for duels in the 19th century. Due to the strict laws against dueling, this location, just outside state jurisdiction, became a favored spot for those seeking to resolve personal disputes through "honorable combat."
The Dueling Grounds gained infamy for high-profile duels, particularly during the early 1800s, including the fatal duel in 1826 between U.S. Congressman John Randolph and Henry Clay, a prominent American statesman and future presidential candidate. Though the duel ended without bloodshed, it underscored the site’s role in shaping political and personal conflicts of the time. Duels, dangerous and deadly, were also a socially accepted method for defending one’s honor in certain circles. By the mid-19th century, dueling fell out of favor, and the Dueling Grounds eventually faded into history.
In 2014, National Geographic found evidence of spent casings and lead bullet fragments, confirming the exact location of the duels. To this day, Kentucky is the only state requiring office holders to swear to uphold that they have never dueled or challenged anyone to a duel.
Enough Turk, get on with it!
The weather should be dry and the track firm. The track website is pretty barebones but you can find scratches and changes and track surface info here.
$2.0 MM Kentucky Downs Turf Cup Grade 2; 1 1/2 Miles on Turf
Just a few relevant videos, but at 1 1/2 miles, don't put too much into these.
4 August 2024 EIP; Turf Cup Preview $299K; 1 1/4 Miles firm turf. Highway Robber/1; King Curlin/6; Anglophile/9
11 August 2024 CNL; Arlington Million G1; 1 1/4 Miles Firm Turf. Integration/2; Sugoi/5
20 July 2024 MTH; United Nations G2; 1 3/8 Miles on Firm Turf. Get Smokin/4; Tawny Port/7; Grand Sonata/10
So what should you do with all this? First, check for scratches and changes. There were none when I wrote this on Thursday evening. Next, hold your bets and watch that tote board leading up to post time. Finally, have fun. It's Kentucky Downs, anything can happen. If I choose to bet I will look at an exacta with Integration/2 above Get Smokin/4, Tawny Point/7, Anglophile/9, Sugoi/5 and Highway Robber/1, a $10 Bet and alternatively, I'd drop Integration and $2 box 4-7-9-5-1 for $40. Both are pricey and big gambles but the handle will be big and its worth stretching.
